Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.453318 0.532328 0.619015 0.720910 0.837118 0.965224 1.116835
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.335058 0.440664 0.567928 0.731371 0.934361 1.176732 1.486427
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.257081 0.373314 0.525173 0.735275 1.015130 1.371395 1.854925
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.206767 0.327698 0.497222 0.747153 1.100139 1.573795 2.248786
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.167907 0.288373 0.468383 0.749237 1.166774 1.753079 2.624011
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.132345 0.245808 0.426108 0.722914 1.185784 1.863464 2.908829
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.115323 0.229146 0.419757 0.747992 1.280565 2.087407 3.370635
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.100362 0.212755 0.410579 0.765921 1.364015 2.298939 3.827714
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.092340 0.207259 0.418530 0.812119 1.495685 2.592924 4.429444
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.078724 0.188177 0.399190 0.808068 1.542350 2.754531 4.833757
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.066523 0.169377 0.377247 0.795883 1.572521 2.889714 5.202572
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.057012 0.154293 0.359977 0.789612 1.611273 3.040200 5.603995
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.050672 0.145336 0.354189 0.805551 1.693367 3.273229 6.164118
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044525 0.135530 0.345169 0.813977 1.762249 3.488411 6.708550
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038856 0.125615 0.334308 0.817089 1.820827 3.688857 7.239506
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034591 0.118401 0.328369 0.829658 1.898629 3.928814 7.854065
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030292 0.110023 0.318300 0.831771 1.955094 4.132340 8.414173
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025058 0.097455 0.295811 0.802870 1.944383 4.207446 8.742537
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023126 0.094641 0.297595 0.830318 2.054734 4.521957 9.533214
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021061 0.090859 0.296214 0.849942 2.149580 4.811526 10.291654
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020343 0.091527 0.307022 0.900504 2.316406 5.253531 11.363560
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017782 0.084899 0.296360 0.896069 2.359463 5.448462 11.966739
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015297 0.077755 0.282924 0.882736 2.380695 5.599450 12.490788